Of course not in a single generation! Unless the mutation was lethal, as some are. All that is required is for the mutation to lead fewer offspring than normal, or for a beneficial mutation to lead to more offspring than usual. And several generations later, it will be noticeable. See the Peppered Moth (Biston betularia) in England, and the experiments run by entomologist H. Bernard Kettlewell. It is very well attested.
In fact, that might work, though. But the cost would actually be horrendous. Making 1000 inferior, unselected cars, over and over and over again (as profligate nature does) would be immeasurable more expensive than R&D, as you note. But nature, having all the time in the world, as it were, can be very profligate. The numbers of offspring for some creatures measures in the hundreds, sometimes thousands or even millions of offspring for a single parent. Nature isn’t interested in how many of them (the answer is most) perish.
Well that would be the point. Natural selection works nicely where ID is not banished from the equation, where it can design and eliminate according a vast array of fitness functions, according to a purpose, goal, intent, phenomena that can only exist in creative consciousness, not nature.
Natural selection in itself goes without saying, it's why the Mustang outlasted the Pinto, it was a significantly superior design. How you acquire a significantly superior design to select for .. by accident.. that's the trickier part.
Consider the red cottontail rabbit. The female can have up to 50 children per mating season, and of those, about half will be females who can breed in 3 months – meaning their mom could be the grandmother to over 1,200 in just 6 months, and great-great grandmother to over 780,000 in just one year! Thank goodness most of them don’t survive, actually! Other species are even more fecund.
In any case, this business of taking a human design process and then trying to make a one-to-one comparison to a natural biological process is simply poor argument.
and like any successful gene pool, there is little if any change in the rabbits, or horseshoe crabs which remain practically identical for 100's of millions of years
it's not a controversial observation, that the ToE requires a relatively small, isolated, stressed population in order for a genetic advantage to make a difference, in fact it's one offered explanation for the missing 'transitional' species- that they only occur in very small populations that are lost. But the smaller the pool, the less likely even one single significant advantage will appear at all in a generation, Catch 22
But re, the comparison; this was my original post in this thread, changing only a few names within what was presented as evidence for evolution
Certain important features of the surviving autos and the junk yard record that the theory of evolution explains:-
Observed pattern of
Progression in the junk yard record:-
Progression is defined as the pattern in the junk yard record in which
i) cars from the earliest strata will look very very different from modern running cars
ii) The cars depicted in the most ancient strata of the junk yard record will be continually replaced by new cars in subsequent strata which, while sharing many features of the earlier cars, will also show modifications in some of the features and emergence of some new features. They in turn will be replaced by new cars in a subsequent strata again showing a similar trend of gradual modifications of features, elimination of some older features and emergence of some new features.
iii) Due to this trend, cars in closely spaces strata will look similar to each other and in more distant strata will look more different. This trend cannot be explained by functional needs due to change in habitat alone as often modified models occupy nearly same kinds of habitats as older replaced species (like Lincolns vs Studebakers, Cadillacs v Desotos etc.)
iv) Levels closer to the present will increasingly show cars that look more and more like modern forms (but not the same).
v) When modern cars are categorized in groups based on character, it is found that the broadest and most generalized of features appear in a primitive form in the earliest cars (like possessing a chassis) while more specific features restricted to specialized subgroups (like having 4WD, having tailgates) appear in cars that appear later in the fossil record. More specialized and restricted the feature, the later it appears (like possessing OnStar as in Chevrolets appears later than possessing 4wd as in SUVs in general).
i.e. This isn't meant as a slam dunk argument for ID in life, it just illustrates that these observations in the record, do not in and of themselves, even hint at, far less prove a purely naturalistic process. The opposite argument can be made at least as well..