Of course I do. I know that I do not know what you had for breakfast.
But I didn't ask you what you know; I ask you what you believe.
And I told you, but now I'm going to modify that reply. If I were to try to guess what you ate for breakfast, eggs would be a reasonable guess. Shoe leather, not so much. I could be wrong, though. :foot:
Okay... let's look at it another way. Consider the following list of customary breakfast foods:
- eggs
- cereal
- pancakes
- leftover pizza
Which of these do you believe I had for breakfast?
Well, it could be the empty set, but I do have beliefs about whether people usually eat breakfast and the kinds of food that they eat. I just do not have enough information to be able to answer the question
with confidence. My mental model of the world is primed, but not fully instantiated for this particular information.
Well, is there a particular level of confidence in an idea where you consider yourself to believe in it? Has that been met for the idea that I had eggs for breakfast?
Definitely not the empty set. My set of beliefs could be nicely modeled in a Bayesian network of probabilities. So I'm definitely including eggs in the set of possibilities. You could supply me with better information, you know. I'm beginning to get curious.
And I'm beginning to get hungry.
But my whole point is to ask you what you believe when you have no information: do you have the belief or not?
And while I see how your "Bayesian network" could help you apply a level of certainty to your beliefs, and potentially be the criterion you use to believe an idea, at the end of the day, you either have a belief or you don't.
But to use your analogy of a statistical model, look at it this way: lack of certainty on one idea does not imply certainty for its opposite. Even if you don't accept that I had eggs this morning, this doesn't mean that you necessarily accept that I didn't have them.
Oh, but I did. I just gave you more detail than a simple "yes" or "no". Being a typical human, my beliefs can shift around quite a bit in the course of a discussion. Originally, I said that I had no idea. Now I realize that that answer was not quite correct. Beliefs come in degrees of confidence, and my confidence about what you ate (and whether you even ate any breakfast) rises or falls as I consider different types of foods and non-foods.
Yes, you can be more or less confident in a belief, but at the end of the day, you can still distinguish between an uncertain belief and an uncertain disbelief, can't you?
You asked a question about my beliefs. I chose not to say more about the nature of speech acts, but conversations entail a lot of beliefs, which linguists tend to call "presuppositions". The philosopher, Paul Grice, famously named four
conversational maxims that govern speech acts--quality, quantity, relation, and manner. The maxim of quality states that, other things being equal, speakers believe what they say. Hence, "You shoelace is untied" is functionally equivalent to the assertion "I believe that your shoelace is untied". Do they mean the same thing? Yes, but the second statement contains a redundancy (hence, it "flaunts" the maxim of quantity--saying only what is needed). My point is that making an assertion is stating a belief (unless one is lying or intentionally flaunting the maxim of quality). When someone says "God does not exist", that person is very definitely stating a belief. The concept of "atheism" is as classification of belief.
But all that is irrelevant if saying "God does not exist" isn't a prerequisite for atheism. And I'm saying it's not.
As I said to atanu in my last post, this is about the qualities of atheism, not atheists. What atheists do isn't relevant unless it touches on the actual criteria of atheism: even if every atheist in existence actively denied the existence of God, this would not necessarily imply that actively denying the existence of God is a criterion of atheism.
No: the correct answer is, "What is 'God'?" What is it that we are being asked whether we believe. If you don't know, you can't answer, at all.
Edit: Let me rephrase: If you don't know what it is you're asking about, then we can't possibly answer.
This ignores the fact that words do have meanings.
Hypothetical scenario (based on a foggy recollection of a bank commercial): a child overhears an adult couple talking about how much equity they have in their house. The child doesn't know what "equity" means.
The child comes home and says "Mom, do you have any equity in your house?"
Should the Mom's response be "I can't answer you until
you understand what 'equity' means?"
If the child has decided that "equity" means "unicorn droppings that adults keep in the basement to burn in the furnace" and meanwhile, the mother has $50,000 in
actual equity, would she be correct or incorrect by answering her child with "no, I don't"?