They have pointed out that it is an area of ongoing research and that there are several perfectly reasonable hypotheses. This is science doing what it does.
More pointless repetition of baseless nonsense, i.e.
running away.
You say "Assume 100,000 base pairs for the first living creature",
why? Where is the justification? How are you even defining "living creature"?
People have addressed these points and asked these questions multiple times, and you take no notice at all, just endlessly repeat the same baseless assumptions and worthless 'calculations'.
You've also ignored the point that you can't turn
any amount of
improbability into
impossibility. doubly so when you don't know how many opportunities there are and that the one outcome you envisage was somehow intended or required.
To know the number of opportunities you'd need to know the
absolute size of the universe (not the
observable universe), which is unknown and might be infinite. So even if your assumptions and maths were correct (which they aren't) you
still couldn't call it
impossible.
Improbable things happen all the time. Want to generate something with a probability of 1 in 80,658,175,170,943,878,571,660,636,856,403,766,975,289,505,440,883,277,824,000,000,000,000 within the confines of a small table? Just shuffle a deck of cards.
It's only if you want just one specific outcome that things become at all remarkable. I don't know how many ways there are for evolution to get going, and neither does anybody else.
Also, yet again:
A longstanding research goal has been to develop a self-sustained chemical system that is capable of undergoing Darwinian evolution. The notion of primitive RNA-based life suggests this goal might be achieved by constructing an RNA enzyme that ...
www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov