Mohammad Nur Syamsu
Well-Known Member
Your Argument is totally specious.
A vast majority of evolutionary changes lead absolutely nowhere. They are happening all the time and most are dead ends.
Sometimes such a change is very beneficial and is therefore is likely to increase the chances of survival of both the change and the species.
The mathematics of the change between two stages of evolution is always 100% because it "Happened"
The chances of it happening again, are as you say perhaps astronomical, but irelavent.
All we ever see is a completed chain of events.
Failures do not survive.
Genetic variation can mean they remain much as they are, take a genetic fork or lead to dead ends.
This is the process we see in practice. namely numerous family branches that we call species, with a similar number of extinctions.
It doesn't work, it requires decisionmaking. And since freedom is obviously real and relevant in the universe, there is no reason to assume it would not be decided.
You cannot get a movie from arbitrarily changing bits on a dvd. You are underestimating the number of theoretically possible mutations that lead to disorganization, relative to the number of mutations that function together with the whole of the organism. You cannot get efficient clean up of the theorized deleterious mutations by natural selection. Just as well as in evolution theory it takes millions of years to gather up the beneficial mutations to form a new specie, also it takes many years to clean up the deleterious mutations, and the sums don't come out right for evolution.