Concerning your breakfast example, you list the very ways in which we can determine your breakfast, despite your memory loss, yet discount them all for some reason, merely say they vanish without a trace without any reason for it. Why wouldn't there be any trace of it in your body or stool?
Okay, let's put it back a week rather than a day. I've had several bowel movements, so there's no trace of the breakfast anywhere in my body.
Even still, you can look at your grocery bill, confirm the purchase of bread and jam, and thereby the quantity and ask if any of your family had bread and jam and approximately how much. If there is a difference between what you purchased and what your family ate, it is reasonable to conclude you had the remainder.
Are you seriously telling me that a family, with enough effort, can CALCULATE whether one of its members ate toast and jam in this way? Please tell me you're having me on.
Besides, it's a moot point. We normally take things at face value without conclusive evidence. With evidence, yes, but not conclusively. But there are unimportant things that are not worth the effort of verifying.
The question is whether my belief about what I had for breakfast last week (to accommodate your objections) is RATIONAL. If you agree that it is rational to hold my belief about what I ate last week, you agree that it is rational to hold some beliefs without evidence.
But the issue of God is an important one because it is an extraordinary claim. Thus it requires extraordinary evidence in order to conclusively prove it. It's not a trivial matter like what my name is because my name is an ordinary claim.
So you're saying that IMPORTANT claims require evidence. Again, I'm not so sure. Let's go back to my memory belief about what I had for breakfast last week. Imagine further that the company that manufactured the jam has issued a recall because a distribution of jam (that includes the one I purchased and remember eating) has a serious bacterial contamination. The bacteria lays dormant for ten days, and then emerges as a serious infection that kills 75% of the victims. So this is a very extraordinary kind of bacteria (I've never heard of a bacteria that behaved this way), and an important belief (whether I ate the jam last week). And now there are two beliefs at issue, BOTH of which I have no evidence to support. There are
(1) The jam has bacteria in it, and
(2) I ate the jam last week (7 days ago)
Are either of these beliefs rational? They are individually important and together extraordinary (I have never eaten contaminated food). I have no evidence that my jam has bacteria in it. I have only the word of the manufacturer. (It's one thing to note that they have no reason to lie; it's another to claim I have evidence.) I have no evidence that I ate the jam last week, I just happen to believe that based on memory (and as I've already pointed out, memory doesn't serve as evidence for a belief, but as its occasion). Yet it seems to be that it's perfectly rational to hold both beliefs.
Now let's say that a treatment is available, but it's in limited supply. Only those who have in fact eaten the jam is permitted to take the medication. What would we say of a doctor who withheld treatment because I didn't have evidence that I even ate any of the bacteria? After all, since this particular set of beliefs is both important and highly extraordinary, we actually need quite a lot of evidence that I ate the jam. Unfortunately, there's no evidence to be had.
Clearly, the doctor is being irrational. It's perfectly acceptable to take my word about what I ate. It's perfectly rational. My belief about what I ate last week has no supporting evidence (for me or for anyone else). And my testimony about what I ate last week has no supporting evidence (for me or for the doctor). Yet it seems perfectly rational for me to believe (1) and (2), and it also seems rational for the doctor to believe them, too. Indeed, it seems irrational not to. And this despite the total lack of evidence.
Of course it isn't evidence for me. I wouldn't expect to go to court to defend myself and use "faith". Would you? If not, why?
Is believing in God illegal now? The problem with the forensic analogy is that evidence is required to legally deprive someone of liberty or life. In court, the issue is proof (beyond a reasonable doubt or on a preponderance of the evidence, depending on the type of case). The question whether a belief is rational is entirely different. And it's the latter question we're considering.
So basically you're saying you have evidence, but not conclusive evidence?
Yes.
Well, beyond "faith"...what other evidence do you have? What evidence could you possibly have of a supernatural world which is by definition unknown?
By
definition? Why think that? If Christianity is true, God is knowable (and known). I'm afraid we can't define the supernatural out of existence. As to evidence, you know the sorts of arguments available. There's the historical argument for Jesus' resurrection, the Kalam cosmological argument, there are several varieties of teleological argument (the strongest these days appeals to the fine-tunedness of the universal constants), moral arguments (God is the most adequate basis for the truth of moral statements, their universal applicability, and our use of moral terms), ontological arguments (out of fashion for the last few hundred years), and perhaps others that I've not heard about.
You've got to shoulder some burden of proof as soon as you start claiming your God exists or that another belief system is wrong if you presuppose your own is correct.
Only in the context of a debate about the truth of the beliefs.
What you are describing is a small fraction of hardcore atheists. Even Richard Dawkins himself doesn't say "God does not exist", but "God probably does not exist". And you don't get to be much more of an influential atheist than Richard Dawkins.
Atheists maintain the probability is so small and the evidence in favour of God is so weak that we believe God probably does not exist.
Okay.
That's the difference. There is no positive claim (except on those who claim there definitely is no God). Those people are subject to a burden of proof as well as you -rightly- state, they are making a positive claim.
The agnostic claims (quite positively) that (1) evidence is required for belief in God, and (2) there isn't enough of it. The agnostic owes us arguments for both of these claims.
Any supposed miracle - if it really did happen - is an extraordinary event.
Well, that's the double-edged nature of "extraordinary." You are focussing only on the statistical interpretation. However, as I've argued, every action, regardless how mundane, is extraordinary (indeed, unique). So in what sense is the RESURRECTION extraordinary? Well, it's because it apparently violates the inviolable laws of nature. But that "violation" is extraordinary only because the skeptic makes certain assumptions about the world. Namely she assumes the world runs according to inviolable natural laws? But why should we think these laws inviolable? Because natural laws have nothing to do with a god. But again, that begs the question at issue. For Christians (and other theists) regard natural laws as God's typical way of acting in the created order.
Judging from your other posts you seem to favour an outlook that stipulates "What's true for me may not be true for you". Correct me if I'm wrong.
You're wrong.
I'm saying what's rational for me to believe (e.g., that God was in Christ reconciling the world to himself) may not be rational for you to believe. It's rational for me to believe it because it is based on a cognitive mechanism (IIHS) I have that you don't (yet).
Fair enough. But how exactly do you "perceive" God? How do you know that influence comes from your God and not someone else's God? How do you know what you are "perceiving" isn't the powerful human mind at work creating a very real experience?
These are questions not unique to Christians. How do you know you perceive the same physical world I do? How do you know you're not a brain in a vat, subject to the whims of some strange Alpha Centaurian cognitive scientists?
I've had very real dreams that feel like I'm in them. For example if in my dream I jump off a building, it will very realistically feel like I'm plunging off a building and I'm in freefall and I will wake up frantically when I hit the ground. That experience seems very real. It's a powerful delusion. How do you discount this possibility?
I admit it's possible that I'm tragically, horribly, profoundly, pathetically wrong.