Augustus
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So do you think the hadith isn't fabricated but not remarkable ?
I'm not saying I accept it as truly the words of Muhammed, just that it no longer seems to be a pretty clear forgery.
Hadiths that are likely to be fabricated are those that a) are very improbable b) closely relate to later political realities. Other than these I have very little opinion on their veracity. Although if the moon being split in 2 (miraculously unwitnessed by any non-Muslims) is mutawatir, then I don't really have much faith in the less reliable sahih hadiths. Some probably have some degree of truth, but I don't think it is easy to identify which.
Even something like the 'verse of the cranes' was accepted as being historically accurate by Ibn Taymiyya which would be considered blasphemous by most these days (even though he viewed it as reflecting the Prophet's honesty and desire for truth, rather than as a negative event). Opinions as to what is a valid opinion have changed over time, and seeing as subjective evaluation of the character of transmitters was important, why should anyone trust such judgements when it's clear they are prone to flaws and biases of human reasoning.
I thought before that it reflected b), but have change my mind as it is much narrower in meaning than I imagined before reading the text itself. Before I said "Did it not say, Islam will be widespread but few will be devout? They will focus on money and worldly status rather than God?", I was wrong though, this clearly isn't the meaning of the hadith though.
As such I remain agnostic to it's authenticity. (could be a fabrication to rationalise away a defeat though)
It is very far from remarkable though, just a typical military commander type comment. It's a bit like movie dialogue.
Remember, something being miraculous is the least likely explanation possible for any honest non-Muslim. Any other explanation is logically more likely to be correct even if it is very unlikely. In this case we have at least 2 pretty standard explanations that are not in any way improbable, so I assume one of them is more likely to be true that he explanation that it is in some way 'miraculous'.
Why do you think it is remarkable?